Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will any 2020 California election results be altered by a cyberattack against a voting system?

Started Sep 11, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Cyberattacks against voting systems in the 2020 elections are an object of continuing concern, including in California (Washington Post, CBS SF BayArea, California AB 2125, National Conference of State Legislatures). A relevant cyberattack against a federal, state, or local election system that changes vote totals and/or an election outcome for California would count. For purposes of this question, "voting system" is a system as defined by the U.S. Election Assistance Commission (U.S. Election Assistance Commission). This question will resolve based on available evidence no later than 1 May 2021.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 May 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 188
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 400
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
3.
-0.0
4.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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