In September 2020, fighting renewed in the ethnically Armenian enclave of Azerbaijan known as Nagorno-Karabakh (BBC). Combatants Armenia and Azerbaijan, both former Soviet republics, each have long-standing relationships with Russia, which has attempted to broker a cessation of hostilities between the two (Al Jazeera).

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As the announcement that Russia would deploy armed troops as peacekeepers to Nagorno-Karabakh came just minutes after the launch of this question, the closing date would be the same as the launch date. This means that no forecasts submitted would be scored, and the question has thus been voided.