Started Nov 13, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 12, 2021 08:01PM UTC

SE_Meyer asks:

Between 13 November 2020 and 12 February 2021, will the closing price per barrel of WTI crude oil be higher than the closing price per barrel of Brent crude oil?

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is a benchmark price for oil in the U.S., while Brent is a benchmark price for oil from the North Sea (Investopedia). The spread, or difference, between the price of the two is an important metric in energy markets (Oil Price, CME Group). The outcome will be determined using futures prices as provided by Bloomberg (WTI: Bloomberg - WTI, Brent: Bloomberg - Brent).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 12 February 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

117

Forecast
Count

289

Crowd Brier Score

0.0015


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

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