Started Dec 09, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 January 2021?

Section 230 is a statute that shields social media companies from liability for content their users post (Council on Foreign Relations, FAS, §230). President Trump has threatened to veto a defense spending bill unless Section 230 is repealed (CNBC).

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The question closed "Not before 1 January 2021" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

55

Forecast
Count

81

Crowd Brier Score

0.0001


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
0.0
4.
0.0
5.
0.0

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