Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 January 2021?

Started Dec 09, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Section 230 is a statute that shields social media companies from liability for content their users post (Council on Foreign Relations, FAS, §230). President Trump has threatened to veto a defense spending bill unless Section 230 is repealed (CNBC).

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The question closed "Not before 1 January 2021" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 55
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 81
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

3.
0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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