Started Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 7 May 2021, will the Bank of England set its Bank Rate to below zero?

The Bank of England's benchmark interest rate is known as the "Bank Rate" (Economist, Bank of England). Amid the COVID-19 pandemic and negotiations with the EU regarding an end to the Brexit transition period, the Bank of England has explored setting negative interest rates for the UK (BBC, Guardian, S&P GlobalFinancial Times).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 7 May 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

245

Forecast
Count

491

Crowd Brier Score

0.0072


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.005
3.
-0.005
5.
-0.005

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