Question 68 of 123 in In the News 2021
Started Dec 18, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jun 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?

Travel demand in Europe has taken a major hit due to the COVID-19 pandemic (Fodor's Travel Guide). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Smith Travel Research and its monthly European hotel performance reports, which are generally released the third week of the following month. The reports can be found at by setting "Region" to "Europe," and "Type" to "Monthly." After selecting a particular monthly report, see "Occupancy" under the "Euro Constant currency" section. In October 2020, the occupancy level was 32.3% (Smith Travel Research)

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Name Probability
Yes 5%

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