Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the monthly occupancy level of European hotels next reach 50.0% or higher before June 2021, according to Smith Travel Research?
Travel demand in Europe has taken a major hit due to the COVID-19 pandemic (Fodor's Travel Guide). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Smith Travel Research and its monthly European hotel performance reports, which are generally released the third week of the following month. The reports can be found at https://str.com/data-insights/news/press-releases by setting "Region" to "Europe," and "Type" to "Monthly." After selecting a particular monthly report, see "Occupancy" under the "Euro Constant currency" section. In October 2020, the occupancy level was 32.3% (Smith Travel Research).
As Smith Travel Research ceased to provide the relevant data publicly after this question was launched, the question has been voided.