Question 40 of 126 in In the News 2021
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?

Newly elected Moldovan President Maia Sandu of the Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) has called for parliament to be dissolved and snap elections to be held (Reuters). Since she won on a pro-EU platform, it remains to be seen if the pro-Russian Party of Socialists of the Republic of Moldova (PSRM) can maintain its support (BBC, Reuters). The closing date for this question will not be extended.

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Name Probability
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats 5%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most 94%
No 1%

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