Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 30, 2021 11:00PM UTC

Adam Grant asks:

For how many weeks will Adam Grant's "Think Again" be on the New York Times Best Sellers list for Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction between 21 February 2021 and 11 July 2021?

Author Adam Grant's latest book, "Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know," was released on 2 February 2021 (Adamgrant.net). The outcome will be determined using the New York Times' Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction Best Sellers list (NY Times).

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NOTE 26 February 2021: Any appearance of Think Again on lists dated between 21 February 2021 and 11 July 2021 would count.


The question closed "Between 14 and 18" with a closing date of 30 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 4 0%
Between 4 and 8 0%
Between 9 and 13 59%
Between 14 and 18 41%
More than 18 0%

No. of
Forecasters

337

Forecast
Count

996

Crowd Brier Score

0.2159


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.291
4.
-0.251
5.
-0.245

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