Terry-Smith and 024_andrew ask:
Who will win the Democratic Party primary for the New York City mayoral election?
Started
Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 22, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Several Democratic candidates have thrown their hats in the ring to be the next mayor of New York City (NBC New York, Ballotpedia). The primaries, which will be held on 22 June 2021, will be the first to use ranked-choice voting (Wall Street Journal, FiveThirtyEight).
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The question closed "Eric Adams" with a closing date of 22 June 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Adams | 61% | |
| Scott Stringer | 0% | |
| Maya Wiley | 8% | |
| Andrew Yang | 15% | |
| Someone else | 16% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 150 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 728 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
