Started Mar 26, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will restaurants in New York City (NYC) be permitted to offer indoor dining at 85% capacity or more before 1 July 2021?

NYC has imposed various restrictions on restaurants and other establishments as the city and the world deal with the COVID-19 pandemic (Spectrum News, WABC). As of 26 March 2021, restaurants in NYC were permitted to reopen for indoor dining at 50% of capacity (nyc.gov - Business and Facilities Page, nyc.gov - Restaurant Reopening Guide). Exemptions and/or waivers for specific restaurants would not count.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 19 May 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

96%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

182

Forecast
Count

395

Crowd Brier Score

0.7363


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.671
2.
-0.671
3.
-0.671
4.
-0.67

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