Started May 17, 2016 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Will Saudi Arabia list shares of Saudi Aramco in an initial public offering before 1 January 2018?

As part of a plan for economic transformation unveiled by Saudi Arabia in April 2016, the Saudi government has said that it intends to raise capital by floating shares in state-owned oil company, Saudi Aramco (Reuters, Bloomberg, Financial Times, Financial Post). Only shares of Saudi Aramco's parent company, the Saudi Arabian Oil Company, will count. Recommended Questions: Will Iran's President Hassan Rouhani meet Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud before 1 September 2016? Will there be a new King of Saudi Arabia before 1 June 2016?


Saudi Arabia did not list shares of Saudi Aramco in an initial public offering. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 554
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 2605
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.578
2.
-0.575
3.
-0.572
4.
-0.557
5.
-0.551

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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