Before 15 July 2021, will it be officially announced that the Tokyo 2020 Summer Olympics will not commence in July 2021?

Started May 14, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Coronavirus concerns already forced the postponement of the 2020 Olympics to summer 2021 (ESPN, Tokyo2020.org). Various concerns such as cost, vaccine availability, and international travel safety have some concerned about the rescheduled games taking place at all (NPR, Business Insider).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 July 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 203
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 511
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.00695
2.
-0.00695
3.
-0.00695
4.
-0.006144

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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