Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 18, 2021 10:00PM UTC

Columbus asks:

Who win the next Iranian presidential election?

The 2021 Iranian presidential election is currently scheduled for 18 June 2021 (BBC, RFE/RL, Al Jazeera). If no candidate wins an absolute majority, a runoff between the two candidates receiving the most votes would take place the following Friday (Iran Constitution).

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NOTE 16 June 2021: If the first round takes place but the runoff election, if necessary, is not held before 1 July 2021, then the question would close, "None of these or there will be no election before 1 July 2021."


The question closed "Ebrahim Raisi" with a closing date of 18 June 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Amirhossein Ghazizadeh-Hashemi 0%
Abdolnasser Hemmati 0%
Saeed Jalili 0%
Mohsen Mehralizadeh 0%
Ebrahim Raisi 100%
Mohsen Rezai 0%
Alireza Zakani 0%
None of these or there will be no election before 26 June 2021 0%

No. of
Forecasters

37

Forecast
Count

92

Crowd Brier Score

0.0017


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.008
3.
-0.008
4.
-0.008

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