Columbus asks:

Who win the next Iranian presidential election?

Started May 28, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 18, 2021 10:00PM UTC

The 2021 Iranian presidential election is currently scheduled for 18 June 2021 (BBC, RFE/RL, Al Jazeera). If no candidate wins an absolute majority, a runoff between the two candidates receiving the most votes would take place the following Friday (Iran Constitution).

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NOTE 16 June 2021: If the first round takes place but the runoff election, if necessary, is not held before 1 July 2021, then the question would close, "None of these or there will be no election before 1 July 2021."


The question closed "Ebrahim Raisi" with a closing date of 18 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Amirhossein Ghazizadeh-Hashemi 0%
Abdolnasser Hemmati 0%
Saeed Jalili 0%
Mohsen Mehralizadeh 0%
Ebrahim Raisi 100%
Mohsen Rezai 0%
Alireza Zakani 0%
None of these or there will be no election before 26 June 2021 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 92
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.008
2.
-0.008
5.
-0.008

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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