Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the global price of wheat in November 2021, according to the IMF?
Rising global food prices are a growing concern (Al Jazeera). The outcome will be determined using monthly IMF data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2021 and the outcome determined when monthly IMF data for November 2021 are available, typically in December.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Lower than $220.00/MT||3.00%||+0.00%|
|Between $220.00/MT and $260.00/MT, inclusive||34.00%||+0.00%|
|Higher than $260.00/MT but lower than $300.00/MT||52.00%||+1.00%|
|Between $300.00/MT and $340.00/MT, inclusive||10.00%||-1.00%|
|Higher than $340.00/MT||1.00%||+0.00%|