Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?

Paper and paperboard products include newsprint, copy paper, and newspapers; multiple factors have been influencing paper production in recent years (Fastmarkets, Fisher International). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations ( The most recent report can be obtained by selecting "Pulp and paper capacities, 2019-2024." The relevant data can be found in the table titled "PAPER AND PAPERBOARD (4)" on page 68 under the "Total Product" column. In 2019, the total reported production was 333,726 thousand tonnes (kt).

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This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.

Possible Answer Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 320,000 kt 0%
Between 320,000 kt and 340,000 kt, inclusive 0%
More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt 26%
360,000 kt or more 74%
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