Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many thousand tonnes (kt) of paper and paperboard will be produced globally in 2021?

Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Paper and paperboard products include newsprint, copy paper, and newspapers; multiple factors have been influencing paper production in recent years (Fastmarkets, Fisher International). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations ( The most recent report can be obtained by selecting "Pulp and paper capacities, 2019-2024." The relevant data can be found in the table titled "PAPER AND PAPERBOARD (4)" on page 68 under the "Total Product" column. In 2019, the total reported production was 333,726 thousand tonnes (kt).

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The question closed "More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 320,000 kt 0%
Between 320,000 kt and 340,000 kt, inclusive 0%
More than 340,000 kt but fewer than 360,000 kt 26%
360,000 kt or more 74%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 48
Average for questions older than 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 148
Average for questions older than 6 months: 607
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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