Started Jun 24, 2021 09:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 July 2022, will the US impose sanctions on any Chinese person or entity for actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic?

Whether the United States will impose sanctions against China for its actions related to the COVID-19 pandemic is a topic of growing debate (Yahoo, Axios, Bloomberg). For the purposes of this question, sanctions could be on an individual who is a citizen or national of the People's Republic of China or an entity organized under the laws of the People's Republic of China (e.g., CNN, Reuters, AP).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 229
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 525
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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