Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 August 2021, will legislation authorizing or enabling an extension or replacement of the CDC's nationwide eviction moratorium past 31 July 2021 become law?

Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

On 24 June 2021, the CDC extended its nationwide eviction moratorium through 31 July 2021 (CDC, NPR). On 29 June 2021, the Supreme Court, by a 5-4 vote, rejected a request for the moratorium to be blocked, with Justice Kavanaugh noting that he believes "clear and specific congressional authorization (via new legislation) would be necessary" for another extension (US Supreme Court, The Hill). Legislation of nationwide applicability with exceptions would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 August 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 151
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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