Started Jul 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Adam Grant asks:

Before 1 August 2021, will legislation authorizing or enabling an extension or replacement of the CDC's nationwide eviction moratorium past 31 July 2021 become law?

On 24 June 2021, the CDC extended its nationwide eviction moratorium through 31 July 2021 (CDC, NPR). On 29 June 2021, the Supreme Court, by a 5-4 vote, rejected a request for the moratorium to be blocked, with Justice Kavanaugh noting that he believes "clear and specific congressional authorization (via new legislation) would be necessary" for another extension (US Supreme Court, The Hill). Legislation of nationwide applicability with exceptions would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 August 2021.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

76

Forecast
Count

151

Crowd Brier Score

0.0018


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.001
2.
-0.001
3.
-0.001
4.
-0.001
5.
-0.001

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