What will be the value of the S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index for October 2021?
Home prices have been surging in the US in 2021 (CNN, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). The question will be suspended on 31 October 2021 and the outcome determined when monthly index data for October 2021 are first available, typically in December.
The question closed "Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 November 2021.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Lower than 250.00000||0%|
|Between 250.00000 and 260.00000, inclusive||0%|
|Higher than 260.00000 but lower than 270.00000||26%|
|Between 270.00000 and 280.00000, inclusive||72%|
|Higher than 280.00000||2%|
|Number of Forecasters||74|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 258|
|Number of Forecasts||356|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 686|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|