Started Aug 13, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 27, 2021 01:30AM UTC

Before 3 October 2021, will the US Supreme Court block any part of the CDC's 3 August 2021 eviction moratorium order?

On 3 August 2021, the CDC issued a new, revised 60-day eviction moratorium order to replace the order that expired at the end of July 2021 (NPR, CDC, The Hill). For the purposes of this question, "block" means an action by the Supreme Court that would prevent the order from having legal effect (e.g., denying a relevant appeal, a judgment declaring the moratorium illegal).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 August 2021.

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Tags
Challenges
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 95.00%
No 5.00%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 47
average for questions older than 6 months: 259
Number of Forecasts 78
average for questions older than 6 months: 688
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.434
2.
-0.421
4.
-0.238

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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