Before 2 October 2021, will the Taliban submit credentials to the Secretary-General of the UN to represent Afghanistan for the 76th UN General Assembly session?

Started Aug 27, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC

With the collapse of the Afghan government in August 2021, no one is sure who might represent the country at the UN General Assembly (AP, UN). Representatives of member states must submit credentials to the Secretary-General in order to participate (UNGA Rules of Procedure, Just Security, Christian Science Monitor). The 76th Session of the UN General Assembly is scheduled to open on 14 September 2021 (Politico). The question would close upon the UN General Assembly's recognition of any representative(s) as representing Afghanistan. Provisional recognition per Rule 29 of the General Assembly's rules of procedure alone would not count. Attendance alone would not count (e.g., AP).

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The question closed "Yes, but their credentials will not be recognized" with a closing date of 2 October 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and their credentials will be recognized 0%
Yes, but their credentials will not be recognized 100%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 118
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 438
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.958928
3.
-0.887033
4.
-0.859117
5.
-0.828708

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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