Tim Harford asks:
How many twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) of cargo will the Port of Los Angeles report for November 2021?
In recent months, the global supply chain has been affected by, among other things, disrupted factory production, increased transportation costs, foreign port closures, and congested domestic ports (CNN, Los Angeles Times, Time). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2021 and the outcome determined using November 2021 data as reported by the Port of Los Angeles for TEUs, which is a standardized measurement of volume for cargo containers (Port of Los Angeles). For January 2021, the Port of Los Angeles reported 835,516.20 TEUs.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast|
|Fewer than 800,000||0.00%|
|Between 800,000 and 900,000, inclusive||10.00%|
|More than 900,000 but fewer than 1,000,000||75.00%|
|1,000,000 or more||15.00%|