Question 3 of 112 in In the News 2021
Started Sep 10, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How much cash on hand will the following three Donald Trump-affiliated political action committees (PACs) have combined as of 31 December 2021?

By midyear 2021, former President Trump's political groups had over $102 million in cash on hand (Politico, ABC News, donaldjtrump.com). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data as reported by the Federal Election Commission for the second half of 2021, expected in early 2022. For the purposes of this question, the three relevant Trump-affiliated PACs are:

  1. Save America (FEC.gov - Save America, Mid-year Report 2021)
  2. Make America Great Again Action Inc (FEC.gov - Make America Great Again Action IncMid-year Report 2021)
  3. Make America Great Again PAC (FEC.gov - Make America Great Again PACMid-year Report 2021)

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Less than $100 million 4.00% -2.00%
Between $100 million and $150 million, inclusive 55.00% +0.00%
More than $150 million but less than $200 million 32.00% +1.00%
$200 million or more 9.00% +1.00%

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