Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC

CJH asks:

Who will be elected governor of Virginia in 2021?

The election is scheduled for 2 November 2021 (The Hill).

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 2 November 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 50%
The Republican Party candidate 50%
Someone else 0%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 82
average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 244
average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.809
2.
-0.807
3.
-0.695
4.
-0.657
5.
-0.594

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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