CJH asks:

Who will be elected governor of Virginia in 2021?

Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 02, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The election is scheduled for 2 November 2021 (The Hill).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 2 November 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 50%
The Republican Party candidate 50%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 82
Average for questions older than 6 months: 235
Number of Forecasts 244
Average for questions older than 6 months: 651
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username