Started Oct 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Dec 30, 2021 08:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?

On 30 September 2021, sports broadcaster Al Michaels asked members of the Halftime Show panel on CNBC for the over/under on the Dow Jones Industrial Average for 34,000 as of 31 December 2021 (CNBC). Traders Josh Brown and Pete Najarian provided responses. The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC).

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The question closed "Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 33,000.00 0%
Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive 0%
Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00 0%
Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive 10%
Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00 87%
37,000.00 or more 3%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 80
average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 492
average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.246
2.
-0.219
3.
-0.184
4.
-0.178
5.
-0.169

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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