What will be the closing value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average on 31 December 2021?
On 30 September 2021, sports broadcaster Al Michaels asked members of the Halftime Show panel on CNBC for the over/under on the Dow Jones Industrial Average for 34,000 as of 31 December 2021 (CNBC). Traders Josh Brown and Pete Najarian provided responses. The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC).
The question closed "Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Lower than 33,000.00||0%|
|Between 33,000.00 and 34,000.00, inclusive||0%|
|Higher than 34,000.00 but lower than 35,000.00||0%|
|Between 35,000.00 and 36,000.00, inclusive||10%|
|Higher than 36,000.00 but lower than 37,000.00||87%|
|37,000.00 or more||3%|
|Number of Forecasters||80|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 257|
|Number of Forecasts||492|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 686|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|