Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will legislation amending or repealing Section 230 of the Communications Act of 1934 become law before 1 October 2022?

Section 230 is a statute that protects social media companies from liability for content their users post (The Verge, The Conversation, Cornell). There are multiple proposals under debate for its modification (Ars Technica, Brookings Institution).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.39%
No 98.61%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 218
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 578
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.017
2.
-0.016
3.
-0.016
4.
-0.014
5.
-0.014

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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