Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 July 2022?
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Tensions continue to flare along the disputed border between India and China, with lethal clashes in June 2020 (US News & World Report, BBC, ABC News). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 159 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 455 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
