Started Oct 22, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 15, 2021 07:00PM UTC

024_andrew asks:

Before 4 January 2022, will H.R.3684, also known as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, become law?

H.R.3684, also known as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, is one of the core components of the Biden administration's legislative agenda (H.R.3684, White House, CNN). An amended H.R.3684 becoming law would count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 November 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

100%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

55

Forecast
Count

109

Crowd Brier Score

0.0591


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.061
2.
-0.061
3.
-0.061
4.
-0.041
5.
-0.039

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username