Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Between 30 October 2021 and 31 December 2022, will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?

Started Oct 29, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

On 22 March 2021, the Council imposed restrictive measures against four Chinese officials and one Chinese entity for human rights abuses in Xinjiang, the first such sanctions since the Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989 (BBC, Reuters, EUR-Lex, European Commission). The imposition of restrictive measures against additional Chinese entities and Chinese individuals under the existing restrictive measures regulation would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.49%
No 98.51%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 86
Average for questions older than 6 months: 230
Number of Forecasts 370
Average for questions older than 6 months: 638
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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