Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will a Latin American or Caribbean nation cease to formally recognize Taiwan?
In recent decades, many countries have ceased to recognize the Republic of China (ROC), commonly known as Taiwan, in favor of recognition of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) (Newsweek). A handful of countries continue to recognize the ROC, including nine in Latin America and Caribbean (Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs).
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 9 December 2021.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Number of Forecasters||50|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 258|
|Number of Forecasts||103|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 686|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|