Started Nov 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the Turkish lira against the US dollar on 26 May 2022?

The Turkish lira hit record lows in November 2021 amid President Erdogan's economic policies and growing influence over the country's central bank (Deutsche Welle, Al Jazeera). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "16.00 or higher" with a closing date of 26 May 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 8.00 0%
Between 8.00 and 10.00, inclusive 0%
Higher than 10.00 but lower than 12.00 0%
Between 12.00 and 14.00, inclusive 0%
Higher than 14.00 but lower than 16.00 0%
16.00 or higher 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 82
Average for questions older than 6 months: 257
Number of Forecasts 924
Average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.37
2.
-0.311
3.
-0.287
4.
-0.286
5.
-0.241

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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