Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the closing yield for the US 10-Year Treasury reach or exceed 2.25% before 1 July 2022?
Started
Dec 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 23, 2022 01:31PM UTC
Closed Mar 23, 2022 01:31PM UTC
Treasury bond yields are tracked for many purposes (Investopedia). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). As of 8 December 2021, the yield was 1.52%.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 21 March 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 99.00% | |
| No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 142 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 230 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 596 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 638 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
