Between 30 December 2021 and 31 May 2022, will NATO and/or a NATO member state accuse Russian national military forces of invading Ukraine?
Tensions remain high between Russia and Ukraine, which includes a major military buildup near the border of Ukraine that concerns NATO and others (CNN, Al Jazeera, BBC). For the purposes of this question, "invading Ukraine" would mean Russia sending ground national military forces into Ukraine without consent from the Ukrainian government in Kyiv. Accusations regarding actions in Crimea would be immaterial.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Yes, invading the Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts only||22.00%||+1.00%|
|Yes, invading Ukrainian territory outside of Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts only||2.00%||-1.00%|
|Yes, invading the Donetsk and/or Luhansk Oblasts as well as other Ukrainian territory||28.00%||-1.00%|