Started Jan 21, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 26, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 26 August 2022, according to Bloomberg?

As the world looks to alternative fuels, oil prices remain key to the energy industry (Economist). The outcome will be determined using the closing price per barrel as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 26 August 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $55.00 0%
Between $55.00 and $70.00, inclusive 0%
More than $70.00 but less than $85.00 5%
Between $85.00 and $100.00, inclusive 83%
More than $100.00 but less than $115.00 10%
$115.00 or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 281
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 2036
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.171
2.
-0.155
3.
-0.147
4.
-0.146
5.
-0.145

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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