Started Feb 18, 2022 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 16, 2022 08:00PM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will US federal legislation providing for new tax credits for the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) become law before 19 August 2022?

New EV tax credits are included with President Biden's Build Back Better Act, which stalled in the Senate in late 2021 (CNBC, cnet). Legislation expanding existing tax credit programs would count. Tax credits for plug-in hybrid-electric vehicles (PHEVs) would also count (Department of Energy).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 16 August 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 60
Average for questions older than 6 months: 250
Number of Forecasts 239
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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