The US has imposed a number of sanctions on Russian persons and institutions, but has not imposed sanctions directly on Putin himself (CBS News). The US has sanctioned heads of state in the past (CNN).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

As the United States announced the imposition of sanctions directly on Russian President Vladimir Putin just hours after the launch of this question, the closing date would be the same as the launch date. This means that no forecasts submitted would be scored, and the question has thus been voided.