What will Russian President Vladimir Putin's approval rating be in May 2022, according to the Levada Center?

Started Mar 11, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The outcome determined using data as first reported by the Levada Center for May 2022 (Levada, see "Putin's Approval Rating"). Russian President Vladimir Putin had an approval rating of 71% in February 2022, according to the Levada Center (see "Do you approve the activities of V. Putin as the President (Prime Minister) of Russia?" here: https://www.levada.ru/en/2022/02/18/approval-of-institutions-the-state-of-affairs-in-the-country-trust-in-politicians-2/).

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The question closed "Between 80.0% and 90.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 40.0% 0%
Between 40.0% and 50.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 50.0% but less than 60.0% 0%
Between 60.0% and 70.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 70.0% but less than 80.0% 21%
Between 80.0% and 90.0%, inclusive 79%
More than 90.0% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 128
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 399
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.331674
2.
-0.242981
3.
-0.24182
4.
-0.241623
5.
-0.222213

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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