Started Mar 25, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

When will the European Central Bank (ECB) next announce that it will raise its deposit facility interest rate?

As inflation rages globally, there is speculation that the ECB could raise interest rates as soon as this year (US News & World Report, NASDAQ). The outcome will be determined using press releases from the ECB on "Monetary policy decisions" (ECB - Press Releases). As of the launch of this question, the ECB's "Deposit facility" rate was -0.5% (ECB - Key ECB Interest Rates). The ECB meeting calendar may be found here: The question would close as of the date of the announcement, not the date the raise would take effect (e.g., ECB - Press Release 10 March 2016).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Before 1 July 2022 0.00% +0.00% -0.50% -90.00%
Between 1 July 2022 and 30 September 2022 100.00% +0.00% +0.50% +90.00%
Between 1 October 2022 and 31 December 2022 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%
Not before 1 January 2023 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username