Started Apr 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

David Epstein asks:

What will be the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December 2022?

US inflation hit multi-decade highs in early 2022, due to various factors including monetary policy, supply chain issues, and consequences from Russia's invasion of Ukraine (AP, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and the outcome determined using the 12-month percentage change as first released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "All items" in January 2023 (BLS). For December 2021, the change was 7.0%.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Lower than 3.5% 0.15% +0.00% +0.00% +0.15%
Between 3.5% and 5.0%, inclusive 1.18% +0.00% +0.00% -0.82%
Higher than 5.0% but lower than 6.5% 8.70% +0.00% +0.07% -3.30%
Between 6.5% and 8.0%, inclusive 69.18% +0.00% +1.55% +22.18%
Higher than 8.0% but lower than 9.5% 19.33% +0.00% -1.62% -14.67%
9.5% or higher 1.48% +0.00% +0.00% -3.52%

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