Maarten asks:
Which country will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
Started
May 13, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 18, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 18, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The 2022 Men's FIFA World Cup is scheduled to take place in Qatar from 21 November 2022 to 18 December 2022 (FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022). Thirty-two teams will qualify to compete (FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 - Final Draw/Groups).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Argentina" with a closing date of 18 December 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 46% | |
| Belgium | 0% | |
| Brazil | 0% | |
| England | 0% | |
| France | 50% | |
| Germany | 0% | |
| Netherlands | 0% | |
| Portugal | 0% | |
| Spain | 0% | |
| Another country | 4% | |
| No country will win the World Cup in 2022 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 116 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 220 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 705 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 615 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
