Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2023?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
Two years after a deadly clash left dozens dead, tensions between China and India remain high (Diplomat, The National, Outlook India, Al Jazeera). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
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|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||145|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 229|
|Number of Forecasts||535|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 637|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||worse than average|