&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Which presidential candidate will win Georgia?

Started Jul 29, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 08, 2016 06:00PM UTC

This question was closed with the correct answer 'Donald Trump' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Donald Trump won the state of Georgia on November 8. (NY Times) See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
The presidential race in Georgia is likely to be competitive (Yahoo! News, The Atlantic, Washington Post). Recommended Questions Who will win the 2016 US presidential election? Which presidential candidate will win North Carolina? Which presidential candidate will win Virginia?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Hillary Clinton 15%
Donald Trump 85%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 428
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1371
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.184
3.
-0.184
4.
-0.182
5.
-0.181

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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