Started Jul 15, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 14, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the euro to US dollar exchange rate on 14 October 2022?

Amid the war in Ukraine and concerns about energy supplies in Europe, the euro to US dollar exchange rate hit parity for the first time in two decades on 13 July 2022, meaning that one euro was worth one dollar (CNBC, AP). The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M").

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The question closed "Between 0.95 and 1.00, inclusive" with a closing date of 14 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower than 0.85 1%
Between 0.85 and 0.90, inclusive 2%
Higher than 0.90 but lower than 0.95 5%
Between 0.95 and 1.00, inclusive 81%
Higher than 1.00 but lower than 1.05 10%
Between 1.05 and 1.10, inclusive 1%
Higher than 1.10 but lower than 1.15 0%
1.15 or higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 123
Average for questions older than 6 months: 238
Number of Forecasts 763
Average for questions older than 6 months: 658
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.072
2.
-0.07
3.
-0.059
4.
-0.047
5.
-0.044

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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