Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
When will Speaker Nancy Pelosi officially announce that she will visit or has visited Taiwan?
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi was expected to visit Taiwan in April 2022, but the visit was canceled (Guardian, Politico). A new potential visit has raised concerns about the Chinese reaction to it (CNN, Politico). An official announcement from her office would count. If Pelosi officially announces that she has visited Taiwan or is in Taiwan, presence in the country must take place in 2022 to count.
The question closed "Between 28 July and 31 August 2022" with a closing date of 2 August 2022.