Started Aug 19, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Feb 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

probahilliby and belikewater ask:

Before 1 February 2023, will there be an attack on a federal facility in the US resulting in at least ten fatalities?

After the FBI searched former President Trump's Mar-a-Lago home in August 2022, threats against federal law enforcement have increased (NPR, NBC News, CBS News). The fatalities must occur during the question's open period to count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 6.34% -0.04% -1.79% -11.93%
No 93.66% +0.04% +1.79% +11.93%

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