Will the UK or EU trigger Article 16 of the Northern Ireland Protocol before 1 December 2022?

Started Aug 26, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

The Protocol is an agreement made during Brexit negotiations intended to avoid a "hard border" between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland, in which Article 16 governs either party taking unilateral action (BBC, CNBC, Guardian). The question would close upon the UK or EU notifying the Joint Committee under the terms of Annex 7 of the Protocol (Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.29%
No 99.71%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 58
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 163
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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