deannalfisher asks:
Before 30 September 2023, will the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approve a human birth control pill for sale over the counter (OTC)?
Closed Jul 13, 2023 12:00PM UTC
In July 2022, HRA Pharma, a French pharmaceutical company, submitted an application to the FDA for what would be the first OTC birth control pill in the US (NPR, Politico, FDA - Prescription-to-Nonprescription (Rx-to-OTC) Switches). Approval with limits (e.g., age restrictions) would count. Emergency contraceptives would not count (FDA - Birth Control). Approval of a pill for sale OTC without a prescription but "behind the counter" would count (Forbes, National Institutes of Health ).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 13 July 2023.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 75.04% | |
| No | 24.96% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 60 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 271 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 544 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
