Started Sep 02, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Sep 30, 2023 07:01AM UTC

deannalfisher asks:

Before 30 September 2023, will the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approve a human birth control pill for sale over the counter (OTC)?

In July 2022, HRA Pharma, a French pharmaceutical company, submitted an application to the FDA for what would be the first OTC birth control pill in the US (NPR, Politico, FDA - Prescription-to-Nonprescription (Rx-to-OTC) Switches). Approval with limits (e.g., age restrictions) would count. Emergency contraceptives would not count (FDA - Birth Control). Approval of a pill for sale OTC without a prescription but "behind the counter" would count (Forbes, National Institutes of Health ).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 59.14% -0.05% +0.66% -2.05%
No 40.86% +0.05% -0.66% +2.05%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username