belikewater asks:

In Moore v. Harper, will the Supreme Court rule that the North Carolina courts did not have the legal authority to strike down the NC General Assembly's congressional districting maps?

Started Sep 02, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 27, 2023 02:15PM UTC

In February 2022, the NC Supreme Court struck down congressional district maps approved by the state General Assembly as "illegal partisan gerrymanders" (Politico, NC Supreme Court Decision). NC House Speaker Tim Moore appealed, asserting that the federal constitution vests the legislature with the sole authority to regulate federal elections (Oyez, SCOTUSblog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2022 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 27 June 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 23.18%
No 76.82%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 42
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 194
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.385
2.
-0.381
3.
-0.339
4.
-0.301

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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