How many job openings in the US will the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report for June 2023?

Started Sep 09, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Labor shortages continue throughout the US, with the number of job openings above 10 million for the 13th consecutive month in July 2022 (CNBC, CBS News). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2023 and the outcome determined using data as first released by the BLS for June 2023, expected in July or August 2023 (BLS - JOLTS). As of 9 September 2022, the number of job openings reported for June 2022 for "Total US" was 11,040 (in thousands) (JOLTS - July 2022, see Table A). For historical data, visit: https://www.bls.gov/jlt/. Under "JOLTS Databases," select "ONE SCREEN" from "Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)." For "1 Select one or more Industries," select "Total nonfarm." For "2 Select one or more States or Regions," find and select "Total US." For "3 Select one or more Areas," select "All Areas." For "4 Select one or more Data Elements," find and select "Job openings." For "5 Select one or more Size Classes," find and select "All size classes." For "6 Select Rate and/or Level," leave only "Level - In Thousands" checked. For "7 Select Seasonal Adjustment," leave only "Seasonally Adjusted" checked, then click "Get Data."

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The question closed "Between 8.8 million and 9.6 million, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 July 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 7.2 million 0%
Between 7.2 million and 8.0 million, inclusive 3%
More than 8.0 million but fewer than 8.8 million 15%
Between 8.8 million and 9.6 million, inclusive 36%
More than 9.6 million but fewer than 10.4 million 29%
Between 10.4 million and 11.2 million, inclusive 8%
More than 11.2 million but fewer than 12.0 million 2%
12.0 million or more 7%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 199
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.095991
2.
-0.081999
3.
-0.074883
4.
-0.066917
5.
-0.061658

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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