Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person?
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, Ukrainian President Zelensky has floated the idea of meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in person (Newsweek, US News & World Report, Guardian). The meeting must be face-to-face but can occur in any venue and does not need to be bilateral to count. An acting president under the constitution of the relevant country would count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0.93% | |
No | 99.07% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 214 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 235 | |
Number of Forecasts | 640 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 651 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |