Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the presidents of Russia and Ukraine meet in person?

Started Sep 16, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

As Russia's war in Ukraine continues, Ukrainian President Zelensky has floated the idea of meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in person (Newsweek, US News & World Report, Guardian). The meeting must be face-to-face but can occur in any venue and does not need to be bilateral to count. An acting president under the constitution of the relevant country would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.93%
No 99.07%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 214
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 640
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000193
2.
-0.000193
3.
-0.000193
4.
-0.000193
5.
-0.000193

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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