Started Sep 16, 2022 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will Hong Kong cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine in Hong Kong?

In early August 2022, Hong Kong reduced the required time for travelers to quarantine, but compulsory quarantining remains in effect as part of its COVID protocols (Coronavirus.gov.hk, NPR, DestinAsian). For the purposes of this question, "outside of China" means anywhere other than the Chinese mainland, Macao, or Taiwan. The general removal of the requirements with exceptions would count so long as travel from at least six G7 nations is permitted without quarantine (Canada G7). An announcement that Hong Kong will cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine at some future date after 31 December 2022 would not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Yes 81.27% +11.63% +49.99%
No 18.73% -11.63% -49.99%

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