Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Before 1 January 2023, will Hong Kong cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine in Hong Kong?
Closed Sep 25, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In early August 2022, Hong Kong reduced the required time for travelers to quarantine, but compulsory quarantining remains in effect as part of its COVID protocols (Coronavirus.gov.hk, NPR, DestinAsian). For the purposes of this question, "outside of China" means anywhere other than the Chinese mainland, Macao, or Taiwan. The general removal of the requirements with exceptions would count so long as travel from at least six G7 nations is permitted without quarantine (Canada G7). An announcement that Hong Kong will cease to require travelers from outside of China to quarantine at some future date after 31 December 2022 would not count.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 September 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 77.31% | |
No | 22.69% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 40 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
Number of Forecasts | 72 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 637 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |